Ceilândia vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 2
CEI
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
3 - 1
CEI
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 2
CEI
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
BDF
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRA
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 2
DOM
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 0
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
3 - 3
GAM
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
LUZ
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |