Ceilândia vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
51.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LUZ
1 - 2
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
CEI
1 - 2
GAM
31%
23%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
DOM
2 - 1
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
16%
20%
64%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
CEI
4 - 2
BSE
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GAM
1 - 1
BRA
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 0
LUZ
73%
17%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
LEG
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
BSE
1 - 3
BRA
19%
22%
58%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2009 |
BRA
3 - 0
BRA
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |