Ceilandense vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 1
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 2
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 1
CEI
56%
22%
21%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CFZ
0 - 1
CEI
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
5 - 2
CFZ
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 0
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
BDF
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |