Ceilandense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
71%
19%
10%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
1 - 1
PAR
46%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
LUZ
4 - 0
CEI
61%
23%
17%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
0 - 1
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CDF
1 - 0
CEI
12%
18%
70%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
0 - 1
GAM
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
CEI
20%
23%
56%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEI
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |