Ceilandense vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
LUZ
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
DOM
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
CEI
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 0
GAM
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 0
DOM
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 3
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 2
CEI
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 1
BRA
33%
24%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |