Ceilandense vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
63.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 1
CEI
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
CEI
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
80%
14%
7%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRA
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |