Cefn Druids AFC vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
WEL
2 - 0
CEF
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CEF
2 - 3
LLA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 1
CEF
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2005 |
AIR
1 - 2
CEF
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
CEF
2 - 2
AIR
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
POR
0 - 2
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
CON
3 - 1
POR
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
POR
3 - 0
BAN
24%
22%
54%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2005 |
ABE
0 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2004 |
POR
2 - 0
ABE
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |