Cefn Druids AFC vs Conwy Borough FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
CEF
2 - 0
AEL
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2011 |
CEF
4 - 2
GUI
84%
11%
5%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
CEF
5 - 1
LLA
77%
14%
8%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AEL
1 - 2
CEF
41%
23%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CON
0 - 0
CEF
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Conwy Borough FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
CON
4 - 0
LLA
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CON
6 - 1
LLA
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
AEL
1 - 2
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 0
CON
56%
22%
22%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -3 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
HAV
1 - 1
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |