Ceará vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
50.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 1
CEA
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
SCI
0 - 1
CEA
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
CEA
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 3
VAS
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRE
46%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2011 |
ATM
0 - 1
SAO
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
FFL
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 2
SAO
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
AVA
3 - 1
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |