Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 4-2
Ceará vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1997 |
FLU
0 - 0
CEA
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
CEA
1 - 0
FLU
34%
26%
39%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1994 |
GRE
1 - 0
CEA
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1994 |
CEA
0 - 0
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1994 |
LIN
0 - 1
CEA
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1997 |
CRZ
0 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 1
CRZ
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
SAN
6 - 1
OPE
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 1997 |
OPE
2 - 2
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1996 |
SAN
0 - 1
REM
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |