Ceará vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
30.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
VIT
2 - 1
CEA
57%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
SAN
3 - 0
CEA
49%
28%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1993 |
PAY
1 - 0
CEA
53%
26%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
GOI
2 - 2
CEA
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
FOR
0 - 1
CEA
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1993 |
REM
4 - 0
GOI
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
REM
2 - 0
VIT
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
FOR
2 - 1
REM
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1993 |
NAU
1 - 0
REM
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
PAY
1 - 1
REM
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |