Ceará vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 0
CEA
25%
28%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CEA
3 - 1
COR
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
SCI
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
AMF
0 - 1
PAL
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
CUI
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 0
PAL
22%
26%
52%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |