Ceará vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2021 |
JWI
1 - 0
CEA
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
FER
0 - 3
CEA
16%
23%
61%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
CEA
5 - 2
UNI
84%
12%
4%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2021 |
EQU
0 - 0
GRE
21%
25%
53%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCI
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 6
GRE
9%
24%
67%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 2
GRE
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 1
LAN
72%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |