Ceará vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 0
ARS
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ICA
0 - 1
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 6
CEA
7%
18%
75%
|
80 | 32 | 48 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 2
BAH
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 0
CRA
89%
9%
2%
|
80 | 31 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
CRA
1 - 6
FOR
5%
17%
78%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 0
FOR
4%
11%
85%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
FOR
4 - 1
CAU
83%
13%
4%
|
78 | 34 | 44 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAH
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |