Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 1-4
Ceará vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 1
CEA
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 2
GRE
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2021 |
JWI
1 - 0
CEA
34%
26%
41%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
5 - 1
SCI
32%
28%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEA
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
ATM
1 - 2
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEA
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
FOR
6 - 0
UNI
82%
13%
4%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |