Ceará vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
AFP
84%
12%
4%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
CEA
0 - 1
COR
27%
29%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
CEA
1 - 1
ATP
23%
28%
49%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 1
CEA
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
BAR
63%
19%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 0
FER
18%
21%
62%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
FER
2 - 0
HOR
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FLO
64%
19%
18%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 1
FER
14%
19%
68%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |