Ceará vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
3 - 0
FLU
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 1
CRZ
25%
24%
51%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
CEA
2 - 1
NAU
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 1
AME
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
CEA
1 - 4
POR
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
CRB
2 - 6
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
CRB
2 - 3
SCI
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1972 |
SAN
1 - 1
CRB
70%
18%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
CRB
1 - 1
ATM
24%
26%
51%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
CRB
0 - 2
GRE
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |