Ceará vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 0
CEA
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 0
CEA
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 0
CEA
69%
18%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
SCI
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
COT
2 - 1
CRZ
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 1
COT
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COT
5 - 0
BOT
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
VAS
2 - 0
COT
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
COR
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |