Ceará vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
CEA
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
CEA
5 - 2
AMF
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
OES
3 - 1
CEA
17%
26%
57%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
CEA
3 - 4
BOT
43%
26%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
AVA
3 - 2
SAM
60%
23%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 1
VIL
76%
17%
8%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 4
AVA
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 0
ARN
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VAS
0 - 5
AVA
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +1 |