Rio Branco vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
RBC
0 - 2
TFC
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
RBC
0 - 0
CFZ
23%
24%
54%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 2
RBC
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
TFC
4 - 1
RBC
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
SER
1 - 3
RBC
62%
21%
17%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 0
CFZ
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
TFC
0 - 1
NOV
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
NOV
2 - 2
RBC
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2008 |
CFZ
1 - 0
NOV
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
NOV
1 - 1
IFC
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |