Rio Branco vs Céres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
46.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
RBC
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
RBC
1 - 1
SAM
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
TIG
1 - 2
RBC
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
RBC
1 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
RBC
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 2
CER
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
SAO
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
SER
1 - 2
CER
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
CER
1 - 1
GOY
34%
26%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
QUI
2 - 1
CER
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |