Copa del Rey . 1/256
Global 4-5
CE Europa vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CE Europa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
LOG
2 - 0
EUR
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
EUR
1 - 0
CFV
68%
20%
13%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
REU
0 - 0
EUR
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
EUR
3 - 0
LOG
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
4 - 1
EUR
56%
23%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
VIL
3 - 1
SDS
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
ATB
1 - 1
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
4 - 1
EUR
56%
23%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
VIL
4 - 0
VAL
22%
28%
50%
|
29 | 56 | 27 | +3 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
LEV
4 - 2
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |