CONCACAF Champions Cup Grupo A. Jor. 4

Cruz Azul vs Toronto FC analysis

Cruz Azul Toronto FC
83 ELO 71
12.3% Tilt 7.5%
453º General ELO ranking 799º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
74.6%
Cruz Azul
15.8%
Draw
9.6%
Toronto FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.6%
Win probability
Toronto FC
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cruz Azul
+13%
+10%
Toronto FC

ELO progression

Cruz Azul
Toronto FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2010
CAZ
Cruz Azul
3 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
75%
16%
9%
83 68 15 0
16 Sep. 2010
ARA
Árabe Unido
0 - 6
Cruz Azul
CAZ
29%
25%
46%
84 73 11 -1
12 Sep. 2010
ATS
Atlas Guadalajara
1 - 3
Cruz Azul
CAZ
31%
26%
43%
83 75 8 +1
29 Aug. 2010
CAZ
Cruz Azul
3 - 2
Tigres UANL
TIG
66%
20%
15%
83 76 7 0
26 Aug. 2010
CAZ
Cruz Azul
5 - 4
Real Salt Lake
RSL
61%
22%
17%
84 78 6 -1

Matches

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2010
HOD
Houston Dynamo
1 - 2
Toronto FC
TOR
49%
26%
26%
70 71 1 0
16 Sep. 2010
RSL
Real Salt Lake
4 - 1
Toronto FC
TOR
60%
22%
18%
71 77 6 -1
11 Sep. 2010
TOR
Toronto FC
0 - 1
DC United
DCU
45%
28%
28%
71 70 1 0
09 Sep. 2010
CFS
Chicago Fire
0 - 0
Toronto FC
TOR
46%
27%
27%
72 74 2 -1
05 Sep. 2010
DAL
FC Dallas
1 - 0
Toronto FC
TOR
54%
24%
22%
72 77 5 0
X