Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
TIG
0 - 2
CAZ
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 2
CAZ
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAZ
4 - 1
QRO
69%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 1
CAZ
39%
25%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CAZ
0 - 1
PUE
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUM
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
4 - 1
MAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TIJ
3 - 2
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 0
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |