Cruz Azul vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
PUM
1 - 4
CAZ
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
AME
0 - 1
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAZ
4 - 2
TIJ
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 4
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CAZ
4 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 3
ATS
66%
19%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 4
TIJ
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
QRO
1 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
TIJ
3 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |