Cruz Azul vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 3
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAZ
3 - 2
AUR
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AME
1 - 1
CAZ
46%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CAZ
8 - 0
AFC
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 0
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
TIJ
1 - 0
NEC
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 0
TIJ
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
TIJ
2 - 3
MAZ
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ATS
1 - 0
TIJ
36%
27%
36%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TIJ
3 - 1
QRO
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |