Liga MX Finals Cl. PLAY OFFS. Final
Global 2-1
Cruz Azul vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 0
CAZ
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAZ
3 - 1
TOL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAZ
41%
25%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
CAZ
51%
24%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
PUE
61%
22%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
SAN
49%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |