Cruz Azul vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAZ
42%
25%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
LAN
2 - 1
CAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
PUM
4 - 0
CAZ
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
CAZ
4 - 0
PUM
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CAZ
0 - 1
TIG
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 1
CHI
38%
28%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
LEO
2 - 0
PUE
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
PUE
2 - 1
LEO
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
MON
2 - 2
PUE
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PUE
1 - 0
AUR
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |