Liga MX Finals Cl. Playoffs. Last 16

Cruz Azul vs Necaxa analysis

Cruz Azul Necaxa
82 ELO 76
-6.4% Tilt -14.9%
491º General ELO ranking 985º
10º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Cruz Azul
23.5%
Draw
21%
Necaxa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
Cruz Azul
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21%
Win probability
Necaxa
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cruz Azul
+8%
+25%
Necaxa

ELO progression

Cruz Azul
Necaxa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cruz Azul
Cruz Azul
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2022
AME
América
0 - 0
Cruz Azul
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
82 83 1 0
25 Apr. 2022
CAZ
Cruz Azul
0 - 1
Atl. San Luis
AUR
59%
23%
18%
82 73 9 0
22 Apr. 2022
QRO
Querétaro
0 - 1
Cruz Azul
CAZ
27%
27%
46%
82 73 9 0
17 Apr. 2022
CAZ
Cruz Azul
0 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
52%
25%
23%
82 79 3 0
13 Apr. 2022
CAZ
Cruz Azul
0 - 0
Pumas UNAM
PUM
51%
25%
24%
82 81 1 0

Matches

Necaxa
Necaxa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2022
NEC
Necaxa
0 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
42%
27%
31%
77 80 3 0
23 Apr. 2022
PUE
Puebla
0 - 1
Necaxa
NEC
56%
24%
20%
76 81 5 +1
20 Apr. 2022
NEC
Necaxa
2 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
31%
28%
42%
75 83 8 +1
16 Apr. 2022
NEC
Necaxa
4 - 2
Atl. San Luis
AUR
47%
26%
27%
75 72 3 0
08 Apr. 2022
ATS
Atlas Guadalajara
2 - 1
Necaxa
NEC
43%
28%
29%
75 80 5 0
X