CONCACAF Champions Cup . Last 16
Global 4-1
Cruz Azul vs Forge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 4
CAZ
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAZ
33%
26%
42%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 2
NEC
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AME
3 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAZ
33%
26%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAC
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 0
FOR
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
MOT
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
YOR
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |