Liga MX Finals Ap. . Final
Global 0-2
Cruz Azul vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
AME
0 - 0
CAZ
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
CAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 1
QRO
56%
25%
19%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
QRO
0 - 2
CAZ
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
AME
0 - 0
CAZ
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
AME
6 - 1
PUM
59%
23%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
PUM
1 - 1
AME
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
AME
3 - 2
TOL
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |