Cruz Azul vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
DOR
1 - 1
CAZ
31%
26%
44%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
CAZ
1 - 2
ATS
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
EST
3 - 3
CAZ
35%
24%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
TIG
0 - 3
CAZ
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CAZ
3 - 0
VER
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2005 |
AME
1 - 1
TIG
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
VER
1 - 1
AME
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2005 |
AME
0 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
PAC
2 - 2
AME
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2005 |
AME
1 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |