México FC C vs Villalbilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HEN
3 - 6
MEX
14%
17%
70%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MEX
2 - 2
CAF
79%
12%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ESB
2 - 2
MEX
64%
17%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 5
MEX
13%
17%
70%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MEX
3 - 0
PEN
83%
11%
7%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Villalbilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CFV
7 - 0
PEN
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
2 - 2
SIP
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NAY
3 - 1
CFV
6%
11%
83%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
CFV
2 - 0
CCH
32%
20%
48%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
CFV
9%
13%
78%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |