Villarramiel vs Castilla Dueñas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
62.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarramiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MON
9 - 0
VIL
77%
14%
10%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 2
GUI
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CER
9 - 0
VIL
91%
7%
3%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 3
TEL
30%
22%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
AMI
6 - 1
VIL
59%
20%
21%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castilla Dueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
AST
47%
22%
30%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAS
25%
23%
53%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
ALA
56%
21%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
38%
23%
39%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
4 - 1
GUI
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |