Copa Presidente . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
CD Victoria vs Villanueva FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5.5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIC
9%
16%
75%
|
62 | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
RSO
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 1
VIC
50%
22%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RES
2 - 2
VIC
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 2
PAR
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villanueva FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIC
9%
16%
75%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAR
10%
17%
73%
|
29 | 62 | 33 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
RES
8%
14%
79%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CLA
0 - 1
VIL
13%
18%
69%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |