CD Victoria vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
49.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
10º
9º
29
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
CDG
3 - 1
VIC
7%
15%
78%
|
59 | 13 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
1 - 2
VID
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 1
JAG
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIC
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 0
VIC
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 0
RSO
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
ALI
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
RES
3 - 3
MOT
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 2
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
VID
3 - 3
MOT
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |