Tercera RFEF Promotion PlayOff Semi-finals
Global 2-2
CD Toledo vs CD Quintanar del Rey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
QRE
1 - 0
CDT
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 0
UDS
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 2
CDT
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VRU
0 - 1
CDT
46%
28%
26%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDT
1 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
CD Quintanar del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
QRE
1 - 0
CDT
41%
27%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 2
QRE
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
QRE
2 - 0
CAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
QRE
1 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HBA
0 - 0
QRE
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |