Thader vs Benferri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
THD
2 - 2
ALB
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
THD
2 - 0
RED
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SFF
2 - 3
THD
53%
22%
26%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
THD
2 - 0
VIL
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIJ
4 - 1
THD
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benferri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 2
JOA
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
RED
2 - 0
BEN
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 2
VIL
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
0 - 1
CAL
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SFF
0 - 2
BEN
66%
19%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |