Thader vs Benferri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
20.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+135%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 0
THD
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
THD
5 - 1
PET
41%
24%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 1
THD
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
THD
1 - 0
UNI
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
THD
1 - 2
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Benferri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HON
3 - 2
BEN
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALM
26%
22%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PET
2 - 0
BEN
53%
22%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
RAF
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
UNI
36%
22%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |