La Serena vs Unión San Felipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
DEP
1 - 2
DLS
57%
23%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
DLS
1 - 1
DLI
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
CSL
2 - 2
DLS
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
CSD
4 - 0
DLS
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
DLS
1 - 0
OVA
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión San Felipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
USF
1 - 1
CSD
50%
24%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
OVA
2 - 2
USF
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2000 |
USF
2 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
4 - 1
USF
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
USF
1 - 1
NUB
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |