Santos Reyes vs Guargacho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
70.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos Reyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
HER
2 - 2
SRE
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
SRE
0 - 1
ATL
10%
16%
75%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
CDP
5 - 1
SRE
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
SRE
2 - 0
FUA
25%
22%
52%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
CDL
2 - 2
SRE
58%
22%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guargacho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAT
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
CHI
0 - 1
GUA
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
4 - 0
CAG
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
0 - 5
GUA
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 0
IGU
80%
12%
8%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | +1 |