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Torneo Federal B. ELIMINATORIAS, Quarters

Aggregate 2-5. Ida 2-1

San Jorge de Almagro vs Guaraní A. Franco analysis

San Jorge de Almagro Guaraní A. Franco
19 ELO 35
-14% Tilt 155%
5470º General ELO ranking 2673º
155º Country ELO ranking 84º
ELO win probability
11.8%
San Jorge de Almagro
14.8%
Draw
73.4%
Guaraní A. Franco

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
San Jorge de Almagro
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
73.4%
Win probability
Guaraní A. Franco
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%