CD Real Sociedad vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
60.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
7º
10º
8º
25
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 1
RSO
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
VID
2 - 1
RSO
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 2
HNP
31%
23%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 3
RES
14%
24%
62%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 1
JAG
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
VID
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
MOT
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOT
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 0
RES
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |