CD Olimpia vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
OLI
4 - 2
RSO
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2021 |
RES
0 - 1
OLI
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
RES
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VID
2 - 1
OLI
31%
24%
45%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
HNP
1 - 2
JAG
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2022 |
HNP
2 - 1
MOT
20%
24%
55%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
HNP
69%
19%
11%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
HNP
2 - 1
RSO
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
RES
4 - 1
HNP
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |