Muros Balompié vs La Fresneda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muros Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
COL
1 - 1
MUR
15%
21%
64%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
AST
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
REA
2 - 1
MUR
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 2
ROC
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
AST
2 - 2
MUR
27%
23%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Fresneda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
AST
30%
26%
44%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ROC
2 - 0
FRE
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 0
ESM
17%
23%
60%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
FRE
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
BER
51%
23%
25%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |