FC Motagua vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
MOT
0 - 1
JAG
76%
17%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
OLI
2 - 0
MOT
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
RES
0 - 1
MOT
24%
26%
51%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 5
MOT
9%
20%
71%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 1
RDM
70%
20%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
CFC
68%
21%
12%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
LDA
2 - 1
EST
63%
20%
16%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 2
EST
18%
24%
57%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
CSH
0 - 1
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
EST
1 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |