FC Motagua vs Lobos de la UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
MOT
5 - 2
VID
70%
20%
11%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
MOT
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
MOT
0 - 0
SAP
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 1
RDM
74%
17%
8%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Lobos de la UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
JAG
0 - 3
OLI
16%
23%
62%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
JAG
2 - 2
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
VID
1 - 3
JAG
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
JAG
2 - 0
RSO
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RDM
3 - 2
JAG
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |