FC Motagua vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
4º
7º
5º
13
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOT
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 0
MOT
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
VID
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
MOT
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 1
VIC
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
HNP
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
HNP
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 3
RES
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 2
HNP
31%
23%
46%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |