CONCACAF League . Last 16
Global 3-2
FC Motagua vs Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 2
MOT
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
2 - 2
MOT
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 1
VID
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
RES
2 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 3
MOT
16%
23%
61%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 2
MOT
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHO
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 0
CHO
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
AZU
1 - 2
CHO
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 3
IND
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |