FC Motagua vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
MOT
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
MOT
1 - 2
VID
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 1
MOT
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
MOT
5 - 0
RES
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
PLA
2 - 1
MOT
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RSO
5 - 0
VIC
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 0
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HNP
3 - 2
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
2 - 2
VID
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |